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Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) β€” February 20, 2026

Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+)

22 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

22 significant contract modifications totaling $3.4B highlight robust federal demand for IT services (9 contracts, ~$1.7B), construction/infrastructure (~$1.1B), and biotech/space R&D (~$0.5B), with public firms Booz Allen Hamilton ($818M), Lockheed Martin ($79M), and Textron ($134M) gaining largest backlogs. All but 3 signals are bullish, driven by multi-year obligations and unexercised options exceeding $2B across portfolio. Risks concentrate on firm-fixed-price cost overruns (12/22 contracts) and low outlays ($0 in 8 cases), warranting monitoring of FY2026 funding.

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) digest from February 19, 2026.

Investment Signals(5)

  • IT Services Backlog Surge(HIGH)
    β–²

    9 contracts totaling $1.7B in NAICS 541512/541330 awarded/modified, led by Booz Allen ($818M total), Peraton ($211M), SAIC ($59M).

  • Construction Revenue Commitments(HIGH)
    β–²

    Clark ($616M hospital) and Kiewit ($242M Hurricane Helene bridges/highways) secure $858M in design-build work through 2028.

  • Biothreat Biotech Funding(MEDIUM)
    β–²

    Paratek ($265M antibiotic to 2029) and Luminary Labs ($100M R&D to 2028) gain $365M HHS/BARDA awards amid health security push.

  • NASA Space Longevity(HIGH)
    β–²

    Lockheed Martin secures $74M + $5M for GEOXO Lightning Mapper (to 2049) and lunar studies, signaling decades-long R&D pipeline.

  • Aviation Manufacturing Demand(MEDIUM)
    β–²

    Textron Aviation ($134M obligated, $283M potential) for 18 FAA Beechcraft aircraft through 2031 underscores federal fleet sustainment.

Risk Flags(4)

  • Execution[HIGH RISK]
    β–Ό

    Firm-fixed-price structures in 12 contracts (~$2B) expose contractors to cost overruns in construction, R&D, manufacturing amid inflation/delays.

  • Execution[MEDIUM RISK]
    β–Ό

    $0 outlays in 8 contracts ($585M total obligation) signal potential funding delays or non-starts.

  • Market[MEDIUM RISK]
    β–Ό

    Heavy subawards (e.g., Peraton $258M/53 subs, Amentum 70/$16M) create dependency risks on subcontractor execution.

  • Execution[HIGH RISK]
    β–Ό

    Long horizons (e.g., Lockheed to 2049, Textron to 2031) vulnerable to budget shifts, tech changes.

Opportunities(4)

  • β—†

    Unexercised options exceed $2B (e.g., Peraton $142M, SAIC $268M, Lockheed $297M), potentially doubling obligated values.

  • β—†

    GSA vehicle expansions (8 contracts, $1.2B) position winners for follow-ons in IT/engineering.

  • β—†

    Disaster recovery (Kiewit Helene $242M) and fire retardant (Perimeter $64M fully outlayed) signal seasonal repeat business.

  • β—†

    BARDA biothreat prizes (Paratek/Luminary $365M) open doors for small biz in health security R&D.

Sector Themes(4)

  • β—†

    13 contracts ($2B+) in NAICS 541512/541330 via GSA/VA/DHS underscore multi-year modernization spend.

  • β—†

    Hospital (Clark) and disaster repair (Kiewit) total $858M reflect IIJA/DRF priorities through 2028.

  • β—†

    NASA/Lockheed/Textron deals to 2049/2031 signal Artemis/GEO sustained investment.

  • β—†

    $365M HHS awards to 2029 highlight biothreat antibiotic/platform priorities.

Watch List(4)

  • πŸ‘

    {"entity"=>"Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)", "reason"=>"Largest winner ($818M GSA/VA IT), but dual FFP/T&M mix with expiring periods.", "trigger"=>"Q2 2026 10-Q backlog/outlay updates"}

  • πŸ‘

    {"entity"=>"Lockheed Martin (LMT)", "reason"=>"$79M NASA adds to space pipeline, but 25yr horizon needs option milestones.", "trigger"=>"NASA FY2027 budget; GEOXO progress"}

  • πŸ‘

    {"entity"=>"Peraton/SAIC IT Vehicles", "reason"=>"$270M+ options in DHS/GSA IT; subaward/heavy reliance flags margins.", "trigger"=>"Outlay acceleration or stop-work resolutions"}

  • πŸ‘

    {"entity"=>"Kiewit/Clark Construction", "reason"=>"$858M infra, but FFP overruns in design-build/hospitals.", "trigger"=>"2026 site progress reports"}

Get daily alerts with 5 investment signals, 4 risk alerts, 4 opportunities and full AI analysis of all 22 filings

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