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Contract Option Exercises — April 16, 2026

Contract Option Exercises

12 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

These 12 contract option exercises total $2,556,508,585 in obligations, entirely civilian agency-focused with 0 defense-related awards per aggregate data despite one DoD mention for Skanska USA Civil Northeast Inc ($149M). Dominant themes include health preparedness (HHS at $433.9M across Agiliti Health and DLH), aviation maintenance (State at $449M for AAR), and long-term IT/facilities support (NASA, USAID, DHS). Highest-conviction bullish signal is AAR Government Services' $449M State aviation contract with $290M outlayed and low pricing risk through 2024. Key risk is high firm-fixed-price exposure in top awards like Agiliti Health ($327M) and Amentum ($227M), amplifying execution risks amid partial outlays. Watch multi-year contract ends in 2024-2026 for recompetes, especially CGI Federal's $620M State passport services expiring May 2024.

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Contract Option Exercises digest from April 15, 2026.

Investment Signals(7)

  • AAR Government Services Secures $449M State Aviation Maintenance Option(HIGH)

    $449,044,826 obligation (base + options $500M) with $290M outlayed through option year three on cost-plus-fixed-fee delivery order, signaling strong execution in aircraft repair (NAICS 488190). Low pricing risk supports steady revenue to May 2024.

  • Agiliti Health Locks in $327M HHS Ventilator Maintenance(HIGH)

    $326,621,055 firm-fixed-price obligation ($272M outlayed) for preventive maintenance of ventilators/PAPR under ASPR, with potential to $494M and extension to 2028. Full competition win highlights positioning in medical equipment (NAICS 811210).

  • ABT Global Wins $279M USAID Malaria Vector Control(MEDIUM)

    $279,254,038 cost-plus-fixed-fee obligation ($160M outlayed) with $810M potential through 2027, indicating low-risk revenue in professional services (NAICS 541990).

  • Skanska USA Civil Northeast Captures $149M DoD Contract(MEDIUM)

    $149,336,416 DoD award signals rare defense exposure in this civilian-heavy stream, with bullish rating despite limited details.

  • DLH Secures $107M NIH IT Management BPA Call(HIGH)

    $107,319,406 firm-fixed-price obligation ($86M outlayed) through April 2026 for IT service desk (NAICS 541513), with woman-owned positioning.

  • CGI Federal Hits $620M State Passport Services Milestone(MEDIUM)

    $619,973,465 time-and-materials obligation ($191M outlayed) maturing toward $844M potential, but ending May 2024 with recompete risk.

  • Amentum Faces Firm-Fixed-Price Pressure on $227M NASA Facilities(HIGH)

    $227,200,441 obligation ($139M outlayed) spans to 2026 with high pricing risk on 10+ year firm-fixed-price contract (NAICS 561210).

Risk Flags(3)

  • Execution[HIGH RISK]

    High firm-fixed-price risk in Agiliti Health ($327M HHS, $272M outlayed) and Amentum ($227M NASA) amid partial outlays and long performance periods to 2026-2028.

  • Competition[MEDIUM RISK]

    CGI Federal's $620M State contract ends May 2024 with no extension indicated, exposing to recompete; similar for AAR's $449M ending May 2024.

  • Concentration[MEDIUM RISK]

    Subawards erode net revenue: AAR ($87M subawards on $449M), ABT ($64M on $279M), LMI ($28M on $94M).

Opportunities(3)

  • Agiliti Health options/exercises to $494M HHS total and potential 2028 extension for ventilator maintenance.

  • ABT Global potential to $810M USAID malaria control through 2027.

  • Axiom Space unexercised $72M options to reach $172M NASA EVA demo through 2028.

Sector Themes(3)

  • Agiliti Health ($327M ventilators/PAPR) and DLH ($107M NIH IT) total $434M with high outlays ($358M combined), signaling sustained demand.

  • AAR ($449M aviation, $290M outlayed) and CGI Federal ($620M passport, $191M outlayed) dominate at $1.07B, but both near 2024 ends.

  • Amentum ($227M facilities to 2026) and Axiom Space ($100M EVA to 2028, $77M outlayed) provide multi-year stability totaling $327M.

Watch List(4)

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"CGI Federal Inc.", "reason"=>"$620M State obligation with $191M outlayed, ends May 2024", "trigger"=>"recompete announcements post-2024-05-09"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"AAR Government Services, Inc.", "reason"=>"$449M obligation ($290M outlayed), option year three active to May 2024", "trigger"=>"extensions/modifications beyond 2024-05-31"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Agiliti Health Inc.", "reason"=>"$327M HHS with $272M outlayed, options to $494M", "trigger"=>"option exercises, extension to 2028-02-27"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Amentum Technology, Inc.", "reason"=>"$227M NASA facilities to April 2026", "trigger"=>"outlay progress beyond $139M, end date 2026-04-12"}

Get daily alerts with 7 investment signals, 3 risk alerts, 3 opportunities and full AI analysis of all 12 filings

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