Contract Option Exercises — March 18, 2026

Leidos secures top two contracts ($1.06B SSA IT management + $67M CBP equipment maintenance), with $906M outlayed and $425M options, providing 80%+ revenue visibility through 2028.

Five DHS awards to Rapiscan/OSIS ($186M portals), Smiths Detection ($77M rail systems), Steampunk ($75M HR IT), GD IT ($68M infrastructure), and Leidos total $473M with extensions to 2031+.

Oracle ($176M EHRM), Deloitte ($67M cybersecurity), and Medline duo ($138M prime vendor) deliver $381M obligated, with $784M/$185M/$185M option ceilings signaling sustained VA spending.

$318M CMS to Wisconsin Physicians + $96M Charles River NIH award (options to $486M/$185M) highlight cost-plus structures reducing risk in health services through 2029.

FFP on 12/18 contracts ($2.2B value) exposes winners to cost overruns without reimbursement, especially on long-term awards to 2031 (e.g., Rapiscan, Life Science Logistics).

Non-competed awards (4/18, $427M) to Leidos, Oracle, GD One Source indicate sole-source reliance, vulnerable to future rebids post-2026/2027 ends.

Future-dated Medline VA awards ($138M Jan/Feb 2026) carry $0 outlay risk amid potential VA procurement shifts.

$2B+ unexercised options (e.g., Oracle $608M, Salient $151M, Leidos DHS $183M) across 14 contracts could double obligated value if exercised.

DHS/CBP extensions to 2031+ on detection/maintenance contracts signal rising border security spend, favoring hardware/IT integrators.

High outlays (avg 50%+ on $1.9B obligated) on 12 contracts indicate low execution risk and steady FCF generation.

IT/ telecom awards dominate (NAICS 54151x) across SSA, VA, HUD, DHS, Education, with 70%+ to incumbents like Leidos/GD.

Detection portals/rails (Rapiscan, Smiths) and maintenance (Leidos) total $341M through 2031, amid CBP priorities.

Medline's back-to-back 2026 prime vendor orders signal predictable wholesaling demand.

{"entity"=>"Leidos Holdings (LDOS)", "reason"=>"$1.13B awards represent 10%+ potential backlog add, with $425M options", "trigger"=>"Q1 2026 backlog confirmation >$30B"}

{"entity"=>"OSI Systems (OSIS)", "reason"=>"$186M Rapiscan CBP portals (71% outlayed) extend to 2033 potential", "trigger"=>"DHS FY2027 border tech budget increase"}

{"entity"=>"Oracle (ORCL)", "reason"=>"$176M VA EHRM (options to $784M) in non-competed health IT", "trigger"=>"Option exercise or VA EHR follow-on award"}

{"entity"=>"Medline Industries", "reason"=>"$138M VA 2026 awards at $0 outlay signal repeat prime vendor risk/reward", "trigger"=>"2026 Q1 outlay commencement"}